KenPom Ratings Explained – How to Use KenPom for College Basketball Betting | BookieBrawler
KenPom ratings: what they measure, how adjusted efficiency works, and how to use KenPom for NCAAB spreads, totals, and futures.
Key KenPom Metrics
- <strong>Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjO):</strong> Points scored per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
- <strong>Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjD):</strong> Points allowed per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
- <strong>Adjusted Tempo (AdjT):</strong> Possessions per 40 minutes, adjusted for opponent pace
- <strong>Strength of Schedule (SOS):</strong> How tough a team's schedule has been
- <strong>Luck:</strong> Deviation between actual wins and expected wins based on efficiency
Using KenPom for Betting
KenPom generates predicted scores for every game. Compare his predicted point spread to the sportsbook line - when they diverge significantly, there may be value. KenPom is particularly useful for March Madness when unfamiliar teams meet and public perception is unreliable.
KenPom & March Madness
KenPom rankings are the gold standard for bracket predictions. Teams with strong AdjO and AdjD ratings that are underseeded often make deep tournament runs.
Limitations
KenPom doesn't account for injuries, coaching changes, or motivation. It's a powerful tool but should be combined with contextual analysis and market data from tools like BookieBrawler .