NFL Preseason Betting Guide – How to Bet on Preseason Football | BookieBrawler
How to bet NFL preseason games: depth chart analysis, backup QB evaluation, total trends, and why sharp bettors love preseason.
Why Preseason Betting Is Different
- <strong>Starters Play Sparingly:</strong> Most starters play 1-2 series (or not at all). The outcome depends on 2nd and 3rd stringers
- <strong>Coaches Have Hidden Agendas:</strong> Some coaches want to evaluate specific players, not win the game
- <strong>Roster Bubble Players Go All Out:</strong> Players fighting for the 53-man roster give maximum effort, creating mismatches against teams resting more players
- <strong>New Schemes Are Tested:</strong> Teams install new plays and formations - vanilla game plans don't reflect regular-season schemes
Preseason Betting Strategies
The team with better backup QBs and deeper rosters has a massive edge in preseason. Look for teams with veteran QB2s (who are competent NFL passers) facing teams with raw rookie backups. The depth chart announcements are your most important handicapping tool.
Historically, the third preseason game (now sometimes the second in the 3-game format) is the "dress rehearsal" where starters play the most. This game most closely resembles a regular-season contest and is easier to handicap using traditional methods.
Preseason Betting Pitfalls
- Don't overreact to preseason results when evaluating regular-season win totals
- Don't bet based on team names - the players on the field may be completely different from the regular-season roster
- Limits are low on preseason games, so you can't bet large amounts
- Information is key - follow beat reporters for up-to-date playing time announcements